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Red71
24531.7
354631.5
79119.8
Blue73
277123.7
438137.9
387519.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768840601001201401607173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#12
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End12.0
blue by 6.2
37.90.2
38.137.9
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End6.8
Second
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
red by 7.8
23.70.2
23.923.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Third
7911
#23
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 9.3
3875
#26
19.10.2
19.319.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End3.4