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Red72
24531.7
354631.5
85816.6
Blue97
277123.7
438137.9
387519.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86857080901001107297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#12
31.70.2
31.931.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End12.0
blue by 6.2
37.90.4
37.738.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End6.8
Second
31.50.2
31.731.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
red by 7.8
23.70.4
23.523.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Third
858
#24
16.60.2
16.816.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1
blue by 2.5
3875
#26
19.10.4
18.919.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End3.4