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Red81
205427.4
28830.5
710911.4
Blue69
609021.4
21616.2
828517.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775520401001208169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#3
30.50.3
30.630.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
red by 9.1
6090
#13
21.40.2
21.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End9.6
Second
27.40.3
27.527.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End7.9
red by 9.8
8285
#17
17.70.2
17.417.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Third
7109
#18
11.40.3
11.511.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End4.7
blue by 4.8
216
#8
16.20.2
15.916.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End2.1