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Red91
485526.7
170133.6
687715.3
Blue93
24531.7
354631.5
85816.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80830501001502002503009193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
33.533.7
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 1.9
245
#12
31.70.3
31.031.4
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End12.0
Second
4855
#11
26.70.3
26.626.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End10.8
blue by 4.8
31.50.3
30.831.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
Third
6877
#22
15.30.3
15.115.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End6.2
blue by 1.4
858
#24
16.60.3
15.916.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1