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Red68
50338.5
335746.4
24413.6
Blue82
24531.7
354631.5
85816.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11182601001201401606882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.7
47.146.4
Auto13.1
Teleop21.5
End11.7
red by 14.7
245
#12
31.70.0
31.931.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End12.0
Second
503
#5
38.50.7
39.338.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End9.3
red by 7.0
31.50.0
31.731.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
Third
244
#20
13.60.7
14.413.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 3.0
858
#24
16.60.0
16.816.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1