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Red41
609021.4
85816.6
828517.7
Blue38
24531.7
710911.4
52553.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744020801001201404138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#13
21.40.7
21.821.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End9.6
blue by 10.3
245
#12
31.70.4
30.730.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End12.0
Second
8285
#17
17.70.7
14.513.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.0
red by 6.2
7109
#18
11.40.4
12.011.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Third
858
#24
16.60.7
15.815.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1
red by 13.4
5255
#25
3.20.4
0.60.3
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsMissed