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Red50
50338.5
69635.1
205427.4
Blue22
22469.8
687715.3
83974.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891504060801001201401605022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
38.51.6
35.233.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End9.3
red by 23.3
6877
#22
15.30.6
13.112.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End6.2
Second
27.41.6
30.028.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End7.9
red by 17.6
2246
#30
9.81.0
7.16.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
Third
6963
#31
5.12.7
8.86.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.1
End1.6
red by 1.0
8397
#33
4.10.6
3.22.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed