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Red49
79119.8
710911.4
170133.6
Blue64
72105.8
28830.5
205427.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58692040801001204964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.5
33.933.5
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 3.1
288
#3
30.50.1
30.230.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Second
7109
#18
11.40.5
11.711.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End4.7
blue by 16.0
27.40.1
27.227.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End7.9
Third
7911
#23
9.80.5
10.39.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 4.0
7210
#29
5.80.1
5.75.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed