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Red49
609021.4
86114.1
485526.7
Blue38
85816.6
719516.1
83974.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603502040801004938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#11
26.70.3
26.826.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End10.8
red by 10.1
858
#24
16.60.1
15.815.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Second
6090
#13
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End9.6
red by 5.3
7195
#19
16.10.1
16.316.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Third
8611
#32
4.10.3
4.34.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.7
blue by 0.1
8397
#33
4.10.1
4.04.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed