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Red40
55387.9
511426.0
437715.6
Blue13
49983.1
21458.0
523411.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060804013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.0
20.420.4
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
red by 14.3
5234
#17
11.71.8
12.310.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Second
4377
#13
15.60.0
13.613.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End6.5
red by 7.6
2145
#12
8.01.8
8.87.0
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End6.0
Third
5538
#27
7.90.0
6.06.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End1.9
red by 4.8
4998
#32
3.11.8
8.06.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed