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Red56
546035.7
556115.1
354216.1
Blue31
606710.3
50677.8
499419.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612702040801001205631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.4
21.822.2
Auto12.5
Teleop16.8
End6.4
red by 16.3
19.40.2
13.413.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
Second
3542
#16
16.10.4
13.013.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 5.8
6067
#14
10.30.2
8.08.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End4.5
Third
5561
#11
15.10.4
17.918.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End7.7
red by 7.3
5067
#30
7.80.2
8.08.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned