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Red32
81939.9
66107.8
516619.1
Blue59
437715.6
546035.7
52476.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060801001201403259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.2
14.013.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End6.1
blue by 16.6
35.71.9
15.717.5
Auto12.5
Teleop16.8
End6.4
Second
8193
#22
9.90.2
10.610.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.0
blue by 5.7
4377
#13
15.61.9
12.614.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Third
6610
#34
7.80.2
9.18.9
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.8
red by 1.3
5247
#19
6.51.9
9.911.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed