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Red43
720211.7
49983.1
332223.3
Blue34
87675.6
511426.0
654811.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3536010203040506070804334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.7
14.014.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 2.6
26.00.0
14.414.4
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
Second
7202
#10
11.70.7
9.910.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End8.7
red by 0.2
6548
#23
11.60.0
11.111.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Third
4998
#32
3.10.7
9.19.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
blue by 2.5
8767
#33
5.61.0
7.28.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed