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Red68
546035.7
523411.7
56419.3
Blue42
511426.0
66107.8
150626.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525730406070806842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.9
28.930.8
Auto12.5
Teleop16.8
End6.4
red by 9.6
26.11.1
21.120.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Second
5234
#17
11.72.0
10.212.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 14.3
26.01.1
24.022.9
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
Third
5641
#25
9.31.9
10.512.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
6610
#34
7.81.2
7.66.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed