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Red26
720211.7
654811.6
13229.4
Blue31
83856.5
81939.9
556115.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2838010205060702631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7202
#10
11.70.2
11.611.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End8.7
blue by 3.3
5561
#11
15.10.8
16.515.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End7.7
Second
6548
#23
11.60.2
12.412.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End3.2
red by 1.6
8193
#22
9.90.8
12.411.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.0
Third
1322
#24
9.40.2
3.93.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End5.1
red by 3.0
8385
#26
6.50.8
5.74.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed