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Red115
6753.7
50342.0
438127.8
Blue133
3344.5
245139.2
10725.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139110406080100120160180200115133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
53.70.3
54.754.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 9.1
33
#10
44.50.4
43.944.3
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End11.3
Second
503
#1
42.00.3
43.042.8
Auto14.1
Teleop17.3
End10.6
red by 2.8
39.20.4
38.538.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.0
End6.4
Third
4381
#19
27.80.3
28.928.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 2.7
107
#29
25.10.4
24.524.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.2
End7.6