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Red0
574031.5
686118.3
590724.5
Blue112
353629.3
332234.7
7028.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821010501502002500112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#16
31.51.8
33.331.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.9
End11.1
blue by 3.2
34.70.0
34.834.8
Auto8.7
Teleop21.4
End4.7
Second
5907
#22
24.51.8
26.324.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End6.2
blue by 4.8
3536
#14
29.30.0
29.429.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.4
Third
18.31.8
20.118.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7
blue by 9.8
70
#12
28.10.0
28.228.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7