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Red83
749117.8
332234.7
50342.0
Blue71
516727.8
477917.2
574031.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10979501001508371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
42.01.0
41.940.9
Auto14.1
Teleop17.3
End10.6
red by 10.5
5740
#16
31.50.7
33.032.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.9
End11.1
Second
34.71.0
34.733.6
Auto8.7
Teleop21.4
End4.7
red by 6.9
5167
#13
27.80.7
26.926.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End5.3
Third
7491
#20
17.81.0
22.221.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End5.0
red by 0.6
4779
#24
17.20.7
18.017.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned