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Red50
438127.8
546024.1
722613.4
Blue92
10725.1
170136.0
721130.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901160501001505092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#19
27.82.5
34.231.7
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
blue by 8.2
36.01.7
39.237.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End7.2
Second
5460
#38
24.12.5
32.129.6
Auto8.6
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 6.1
30.21.7
32.330.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Third
7226
#36
13.42.5
21.218.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End-1.5
blue by 11.8
107
#29
25.11.7
34.032.3
Auto8.3
Teleop9.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned