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Red135
353629.3
574031.5
6753.7
Blue99
721130.2
365623.9
296035.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258605010015020013599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
53.71.0
51.852.8
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 18.2
2960
#17
35.50.6
34.234.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End9.0
Second
5740
#16
31.51.0
32.133.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.9
End11.1
red by 1.3
30.20.6
29.129.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Third
3536
#14
29.31.0
28.229.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.4
red by 5.4
3656
#15
23.90.6
22.222.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned