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Red82
332234.7
81456.9
102340.6
Blue94
50342.0
686118.3
118929.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8498501508294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.1
41.241.3
Auto9.0
Teleop27.5
End4.2
blue by 1.3
503
#1
42.00.2
42.242.5
Auto14.1
Teleop17.3
End10.6
Second
34.70.1
34.534.6
Auto8.7
Teleop21.4
End4.7
red by 5.1
1189
#35
29.60.2
28.929.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Third
8145
#23
6.90.1
5.15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
blue by 11.4
18.30.2
19.219.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned