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Red114
353854.9
22641.1
72029.8
Blue86
353936.8
413021.6
91033.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209505015020011486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.1
56.156.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.4
End10.2
red by 18.1
3539
#10
36.80.2
37.136.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.6
End5.7
Second
226
#2
41.10.1
42.442.5
Auto7.3
Teleop21.3
End12.6
red by 7.6
910
#20
33.60.2
33.833.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.3
End8.4
Third
7202
#23
9.80.1
11.111.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.4
End7.3
blue by 11.8
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End5.7