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Red140
150644.6
436246.7
132216.2
Blue68
168444.1
364124.2
721125.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710370809011012013014014068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.9
44.145.0
Auto14.0
Teleop22.6
End10.1
red by 2.6
1684
#13
44.10.7
45.144.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
1506
#11
44.60.9
42.042.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End6.4
red by 19.0
7211
#25
25.60.7
26.625.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End10.3
Third
1322
#19
16.20.9
13.614.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End7.2
blue by 8.0
24.20.7
25.324.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.7