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Red46
719211.6
508427.3
833219.3
Blue57
48546.0
132216.2
353437.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686202040801001201401604657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#21
27.31.2
32.431.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End10.7
blue by 9.8
37.10.7
38.437.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End11.1
Second
8332
#29
19.31.2
18.116.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 3.1
1322
#19
16.20.7
13.512.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End7.2
Third
7192
#28
11.61.2
13.011.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End4.5
red by 5.6
4854
#27
6.00.7
7.26.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsEarned