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Red118
72029.8
364124.2
353854.9
Blue74
168444.1
685.0
366827.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9382020406012014016011874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.92.1
52.854.9
Auto13.3
Teleop31.4
End10.2
red by 10.8
1684
#13
44.10.3
46.846.5
Auto12.0
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
24.22.1
24.126.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End3.7
blue by 3.7
3668
#12
27.90.3
26.726.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.8
Third
7202
#23
9.82.1
9.511.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.4
End7.3
red by 4.8
68
#30
5.00.3
5.04.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsMissed