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Red102
353854.9
22641.1
72029.8
Blue132
150644.6
436246.7
132216.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118110050150200250300350400102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.3
56.356.0
Auto13.3
Teleop31.4
End10.2
red by 8.2
46.70.6
45.746.3
Auto14.0
Teleop22.6
End10.1
Second
226
#2
41.10.3
42.642.3
Auto7.3
Teleop21.3
End12.6
blue by 3.5
1506
#11
44.60.6
43.544.2
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Third
7202
#23
9.80.3
11.211.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.4
End7.3
blue by 6.4
1322
#19
16.20.6
15.115.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End7.2