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Red58
353854.9
22641.1
72029.8
Blue113
150644.6
436246.7
132216.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117112020030040050060070080058113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.1
56.054.9
Auto13.3
Teleop31.4
End10.2
red by 8.2
46.70.1
46.346.3
Auto14.0
Teleop22.6
End10.1
Second
226
#2
41.11.1
42.341.1
Auto7.3
Teleop21.3
End12.6
blue by 3.5
1506
#11
44.60.1
44.244.2
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Third
7202
#23
9.81.1
11.09.8
Auto2.2
Teleop0.4
End7.3
blue by 6.4
1322
#19
16.20.1
15.715.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End7.2