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Red114
439231.9
511450.0
776811.4
Blue79
258629.1
439131.4
482712.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027320406012014016018011479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.4
49.650.0
Auto14.9
Teleop23.2
End11.9
red by 18.6
31.40.1
31.331.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End11.0
Second
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End9.1
red by 2.8
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Third
7768
#32
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 0.8
4827
#27
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End4.2