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Red38
776811.4
85726.0
60989.7
Blue55
58787.4
663728.9
715415.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801003855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#23
26.00.3
24.924.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.0
End10.5
blue by 2.9
28.90.5
27.528.0
Auto10.1
Teleop7.1
End11.7
Second
7768
#32
11.40.3
9.59.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 4.4
7154
#20
15.80.5
13.113.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.4
Third
6098
#24
9.70.3
8.88.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End4.1
red by 2.2
5878
#26
7.40.5
6.57.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned