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Red40
570211.3
47158.3
607722.1
Blue83
258629.1
611314.5
360223.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3863020801001204083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#13
22.10.1
19.719.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 7.0
29.11.8
21.122.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Second
5702
#21
11.30.1
9.79.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.4
blue by 12.5
23.81.8
20.822.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End9.2
Third
4715
#28
8.30.1
9.49.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 6.3
14.51.8
14.015.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned