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Red50
45687.8
71447.9
276746.1
Blue36
82864.5
658026.7
55236.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69270204060801001205036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.6
40.940.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End13.9
red by 19.4
26.70.1
16.116.2
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.2
Second
7144
#24
7.90.6
8.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
red by 1.5
5523
#32
6.40.1
7.07.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Third
4568
#28
7.81.0
9.88.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 3.4
8286
#20
4.50.1
7.97.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed