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Red71
194010.6
607827.1
295925.3
Blue59
837323.4
765817.4
84248.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634902040801007159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.7
24.525.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.4
End13.6
red by 3.6
8373
#11
23.40.5
19.319.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Second
2959
#10
25.30.7
23.324.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.3
red by 7.9
7658
#16
17.40.5
17.518.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Third
1940
#29
10.60.7
9.29.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1
red by 2.1
8424
#22
8.50.5
11.011.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned