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Red32
194010.6
600221.6
82864.5
Blue38
432717.3
725017.5
54487.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363202060801003238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.4
14.714.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End8.6
red by 4.1
17.50.5
10.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End7.7
Second
1940
#29
10.60.4
9.89.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1
blue by 6.7
4327
#15
17.30.5
12.913.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
8286
#20
4.50.3
8.78.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 2.6
5448
#31
7.10.5
7.37.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed