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Red5
860814.0
55236.4
71447.9
Blue58
765817.4
562324.7
78147.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254006080100120140160558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#17
14.05.5
11.45.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 10.7
24.71.5
13.915.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End8.7
Second
7144
#24
7.91.3
8.26.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 9.6
7658
#16
17.41.5
14.816.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Third
5523
#32
6.42.2
8.76.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 0.6
7814
#30
7.01.7
6.68.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned