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Red54
55236.4
675321.7
837323.4
Blue74
518213.8
432521.4
607827.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55613040507080901005474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#11
23.40.1
21.421.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.2
blue by 3.6
27.11.1
26.227.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.4
End13.6
Second
6753
#12
21.70.1
22.822.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
red by 0.3
4325
#13
21.41.1
16.918.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End9.1
Third
5523
#32
6.40.1
8.38.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 7.4
5182
#18
13.81.1
13.714.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned