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Red55
812612.4
600221.6
562324.7
Blue51
749122.2
54487.1
194010.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584120801005551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
21.021.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End8.7
red by 2.5
22.20.4
21.321.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Second
21.60.2
21.521.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End8.6
red by 11.0
1940
#29
10.60.4
11.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End3.1
Third
8126
#19
12.40.2
9.910.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.5
red by 5.2
5448
#31
7.10.4
7.98.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed