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Red85
353628.6
511440.0
551714.3
Blue56
365518.1
567417.0
438416.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9647204060801201401608556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.0
40.340.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
red by 21.9
3655
#24
18.10.1
17.717.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Second
28.60.0
28.928.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End10.2
red by 11.6
5674
#12
17.00.1
16.716.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End8.9
Third
5517
#15
14.30.0
14.514.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
blue by 2.1
4384
#20
16.30.1
16.016.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4