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Red103
353628.6
511440.0
551714.3
Blue63
345217.4
607823.9
836814.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955520408012014010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.4
40.340.8
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
red by 16.1
23.90.0
24.324.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End12.2
Second
28.60.4
29.029.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End10.2
red by 11.2
3452
#18
17.40.0
17.817.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
Third
5517
#15
14.30.4
14.615.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
blue by 0.3
8368
#21
14.50.0
14.915.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8