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Red90
353628.6
511440.0
551714.3
Blue61
365518.1
567417.0
438416.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9647204060801201401609061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
40.340.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
red by 21.9
3655
#24
18.10.3
17.918.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Second
28.60.1
28.929.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End10.2
red by 11.6
5674
#12
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End8.9
Third
5517
#15
14.30.1
14.514.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
blue by 2.1
4384
#20
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4