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Red36
345217.4
150414.3
719514.6
Blue46
30223.2
551714.3
438416.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31471020406070803646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#18
17.40.0
9.910.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
blue by 5.8
302
#11
23.20.3
18.618.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
7195
#27
14.60.0
13.813.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End6.0
blue by 1.7
4384
#20
16.30.4
12.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4
Third
14.30.0
7.77.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.4
red by 0.1
5517
#15
14.30.3
11.211.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsMissed