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Red47
66109.1
523416.3
370733.9
Blue39
31418.1
365518.1
842410.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801004739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
25.826.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
red by 15.8
3655
#24
18.10.1
10.610.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Second
16.30.1
11.711.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End5.1
blue by 1.8
314
#13
18.10.1
17.417.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Third
6610
#30
9.10.1
7.87.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End3.6
blue by 1.8
8424
#16
10.80.5
8.58.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed