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Red59
607823.9
765613.2
438416.3
Blue67
716610.4
345217.4
20130.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436220801005967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.8
20.522.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End12.2
blue by 6.2
201
#4
30.10.8
29.129.9
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End6.5
Second
4384
#20
16.31.8
12.414.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4
blue by 1.1
3452
#18
17.40.8
14.615.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
Third
7656
#29
13.21.8
9.611.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End7.6
red by 2.8
7166
#22
10.41.3
11.813.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned