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Red28
654810.5
551714.3
722621.2
Blue53
370733.9
51509.4
499812.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59472040801002853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#23
21.22.0
24.122.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End-0.2
blue by 12.7
33.90.1
30.130.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
Second
5517
#15
14.32.0
17.215.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
red by 1.9
12.30.1
6.86.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
6548
#28
10.52.0
12.710.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.0
red by 1.1
5150
#33
9.40.1
9.09.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed