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Red45
836814.5
365518.1
150414.3
Blue41
705625.2
83003.2
551714.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40452060804541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#24
18.10.8
12.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
blue by 7.0
7056
#14
25.20.1
19.419.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End9.9
Second
8368
#21
14.50.7
11.812.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 0.3
5517
#15
14.30.1
14.714.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
Third
14.30.5
13.313.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.4
red by 11.1
8300
#36
3.20.1
7.77.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.5
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed