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Red31
83744.8
722621.2
51509.4
Blue65
31418.1
499812.3
607823.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060803165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#23
21.20.5
23.322.8
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End-0.2
blue by 2.7
23.92.0
21.123.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End12.2
Second
5150
#33
9.40.5
9.08.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End2.2
blue by 8.7
314
#13
18.11.3
17.518.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Third
8374
#32
4.80.7
5.85.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.1
End2.8
blue by 7.6
12.31.3
7.18.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned