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Red28
654810.5
31418.1
71448.2
Blue56
567417.0
365518.1
659112.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41501020306070802856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#13
18.10.8
19.018.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Level
3655
#24
18.10.5
17.217.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Second
6548
#28
10.50.8
11.210.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.0
blue by 6.5
5674
#12
17.00.4
16.216.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End8.9
Third
7144
#31
8.20.8
9.18.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 4.3
6591
#26
12.50.5
12.112.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned