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Red51
30223.2
836814.5
51509.4
Blue58
81937.9
705625.2
66109.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060805158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
23.20.2
22.722.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.5
blue by 2.0
7056
#14
25.21.2
21.722.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End9.9
Second
8368
#21
14.50.3
13.914.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 5.5
6610
#30
9.11.2
7.99.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End3.6
Third
5150
#33
9.40.2
6.97.1
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End2.2
red by 1.5
8193
#35
7.91.2
6.77.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned