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Red85
370733.9
523511.6
719514.6
Blue95
499812.3
511440.0
345217.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596930405080901001108595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.6
33.435.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
blue by 6.1
40.02.1
38.140.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
Second
7195
#27
14.61.6
13.014.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End6.0
blue by 2.9
3452
#18
17.42.1
15.017.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
Third
5235
#17
11.61.6
10.011.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 0.7
12.32.1
10.212.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned