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Red38
615213.2
569515.9
204813.1
Blue14
55778.1
43906.0
84275.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2924010204050603814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#14
15.91.3
9.010.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
red by 7.9
5577
#32
8.10.9
6.15.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Second
6152
#16
13.21.3
8.810.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0
red by 7.2
4390
#31
6.01.4
9.07.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End-0.6
Third
13.10.8
8.59.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End4.3
red by 7.8
8427
#23
5.31.4
7.76.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed