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Red33
61017.1
118817.6
717410.2
Blue28
61905.9
48544.9
722012.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3129102040503328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#12
17.60.5
11.211.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 5.3
7220
#15
12.32.6
10.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Second
7174
#29
10.20.5
10.310.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 4.3
6190
#34
5.92.6
8.45.8
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Third
6101
#17
7.10.5
7.17.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End2.0
red by 2.2
4854
#26
4.92.6
8.35.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed